Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.026000 0.031227 0.036702 0.042822 0.049434 0.056325 0.064016
2026-01-11 0.018314 0.025628 0.033835 0.043531 0.054498 0.066373 0.080067
2026-01-18 0.013251 0.021555 0.031485 0.043761 0.058143 0.074142 0.093002
2026-01-25 0.009870 0.018690 0.029887 0.044283 0.061627 0.081322 0.104914
2026-02-01 0.007188 0.016122 0.028194 0.044302 0.064201 0.087200 0.115118
2026-02-08 0.004488 0.012846 0.025105 0.042200 0.063918 0.089498 0.120983
2026-02-15 0.002882 0.010772 0.023320 0.041507 0.065153 0.093424 0.128594
2026-02-22 0.001987 0.009638 0.022696 0.042210 0.068026 0.099229 0.138344
2026-03-01 0.001328 0.008700 0.022225 0.043022 0.070964 0.105059 0.148081
2026-03-08 0.000932 0.008176 0.022317 0.044556 0.074789 0.111943 0.159052
2026-03-15 0.000548 0.007411 0.021909 0.045315 0.077563 0.117504 0.168414
2026-03-22 0.000528 0.007853 0.023565 0.049053 0.084253 0.127912 0.183612
2026-03-29 0.000131 0.006317 0.021676 0.047657 0.084265 0.130199 0.189250
2026-04-05 0.000025 0.005705 0.021368 0.048563 0.087345 0.136334 0.199589
2026-04-12 NaN 0.004958 0.020680 0.048833 0.089529 0.141322 0.208521
2026-04-19 NaN 0.004373 0.020215 0.049389 0.092067 0.146734 0.217954
2026-04-26 NaN 0.003709 0.019452 0.049409 0.093826 0.151125 0.226110
2026-05-03 NaN 0.002608 0.017386 0.047184 0.092359 0.151313 0.229020
2026-05-10 NaN 0.001990 0.016291 0.046450 0.092919 0.154061 0.235058
2026-05-17 NaN 0.001725 0.016089 0.047195 0.095566 0.159500 0.244429
2026-05-24 NaN 0.001508 0.015967 0.048055 0.098365 0.165130 0.254034
2026-05-31 NaN 0.001432 0.016283 0.049679 0.102265 0.172198 0.265439
2026-06-07 NaN 0.001239 0.016146 0.050482 0.104968 0.177694 0.274875